Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 May 2026, 15:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:56 UTC

Dan Held

@danheld

The world has an unlimited supply of fiat to buy a limited supply of 21M Bitcoin.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The world has an unlimited supply of fiat to buy a limited supply of 21M Bitcoin.”
Confidence: 83%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (83%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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