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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2053362723187052967:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 May 2026, 06:33 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

Bitcoin to $500k ETH to $50k SOL to $5k 100x Altseason https://t.co/xHhpZfc4H0

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,724 at 10 May 2026, 07:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,814 at 11 May 2026, 07:00 UTC.
r = 80814.09 / 80724.06 − 1 = +0.11%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.11% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin to $500k ETH to $50k SOL to $5k 100x Altseason https://t.co/xHhpZfc4H0”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$80,724

Evaluation price

$80,814

Move

+0.11%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 15:11 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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