Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,656 at 10 May 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,200 at 11 May 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 82199.99 / 80655.97 − 1 = +1.91%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.91% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology