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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 May 2026, 09:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is still hovering around the $2,300 level. Spot demand is weakening, which isn't a good sign. Until Ethereum reclaims the $2,400 level, the chances of a bigger correction are high. https://t.co/qAGWZ23mwU

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,313 at 9 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,328 at 10 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2327.82 / 2312.99 − 1 = +0.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH is still hovering around the $2,300 level.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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