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Leaderboard / @KookCapitalLLC / 2052664784445714833:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 May 2026, 08:19 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

Ko

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

btc back under $80k but not for long get ready

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,880 at 8 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,400 at 9 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 80399.99 / 79880.38 − 1 = +0.65%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.65% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “btc back under $80k but not for long”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$79,880

Evaluation price

$80,400

Move

+0.65%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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