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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 May 2026, 20:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Byzantine General

@ByzGeneral

ethereum:0xcf0c122c6b73ff809c693db761e7baebe62b6a2e took a while to bottom out, but it looks like a full trend reversal is developing now. https://t.co/vYMB6YrbRx

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,289 at 7 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,307 at 8 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 2306.62 / 2289.1 − 1 = +0.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “ethereum:0xcf0c122c6b73ff809c693db761e7baebe62b6a2e took a while to bottom out, but it looks like a full trend reversal is developing now.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

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