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Leaderboard / @notthreadguy / 2052437914378756328:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 May 2026, 17:18 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

no

threadguy

@notthreadguy

raging bull market in the few coins that actually matter. flows consolidate. bitcoin staircases higher. saylor sells and nothing happens. the rest of the trash continues to be trash. btc dominance down only. why not

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,091 at 7 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,054 at 8 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 80053.95 / 80091.18 − 1 = -0.05%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.05% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “bitcoin staircases higher.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$80,091

Evaluation price

$80,054

Move

-0.05%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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