Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,299 at 7 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,285 at 8 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 2285.31 / 2299.05 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology