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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 May 2026, 08:38 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH tried to hold above the $2,400 level again but failed. Spot demand is very weak, which is pushing Ethereum lower. Until that changes, ETH will continue to underperform the market. https://t.co/AgG76lPjoP

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,334 at 7 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,284 at 8 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 2283.52 / 2333.64 − 1 = -2.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH tried to hold above the $2,400 level again but failed.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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