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Published 6 May 2026, 11:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
Everyone’s calling for new highs. I’m watching downside risk. Bitcoin has corrected over 60% during previous “sell in May” phases. This setup is starting to look very familiar again. Price is entering the same seasonal window now. Ignoring that could get expensive. https://t.co/iP8p6Pfd6XView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 80857.33 / 82520.75 − 1 = -2.0%d × r = +2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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