Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 May 2026, 08:51 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

That Martini Guy ₿

@MartiniGuyYT

In reply to · 6 May 2026, 08:47 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH / $USD - Update ETH has yet to move. BTC has dominated, ETH is lagging. Pay attention. https://t.co/xR0aXk56UC

@CryptoTony__ ETH PUMP LOADING ...

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,395 at 6 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,334 at 7 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 2333.64 / 2394.67 − 1 = -2.5%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time