Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,579 at 6 May 2026, 04:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,842 at 7 May 2026, 04:00 UTC.
3. r = 80842 / 81579.16 − 1 = -0.90%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.90% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology