Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,555 at 5 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $63,814 at 4 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 63813.58 / 81555.47 − 1 = -21.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +21.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology