Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,382 at 5 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,359 at 6 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 2358.61 / 2382.05 − 1 = -0.98%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.98% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology