Published 5 May 2026, 14:52 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:28 UTC
Rekt Capital
@rektcapital
Quoting · 9 Sept 2024, 21:35 UTC · context given to the AI
#BTC Remember when Bitcoin was accelerating in its cycle by 260 days when it set new All Time Highs in mid-March 2024? That rate of acceleration has dropped significantly to 84 days Bitcoin is getting increasingly closer to fully resynchronising with traditional Halving cycles $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin#BTC When Bitcoin rallied to new All Time Highs in 2024, it experienced a double catalyst: the ETF and the Halving These were major factors that influenced Bitcoin to accelerate in its cycle by 260 days However over the course of the Bull Market, Bitcoin found a way to reduce that acceleration to 0, resynchronising with traditional Four Year Cycles when it peaked in October 2025 Now there is a popular narrative that the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom is in already, but that would suggest that Bitcoin is accelerating in its Bear Cycle by some ~240 days, similar to the 2024 260-day acceleration in the Bull Run This implies at least a few things: 1. Just like the Halving 2024 wasn't the final top in the cycle, this supposed Bear Market Bottom probably isn't the final bottom in the cycle 2. To prompt Cycle Acceleration, there needs to be a marked catalyst, akin to the double-ETF/Halving catalyst in 2024. Are there truly any current catalyst powerful enough to shorten the Bear Cycle to just a 1/3 of the usual time? 3. Whatever acceleration Bitcoin manages in this Bear Cycle will probably be reduced to 0 by the time the Bear Market actually ends. This reduction could occur by virtue another deep retrace but crucially followed by a time-wasting extended consolidation period. $BTC #Crypto #BitcoinView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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