Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,966 at 5 May 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,322 at 6 May 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 81322.16 / 80965.56 − 1 = +0.44%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.44% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology