Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,335 at 4 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,389 at 5 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 2389.09 / 2335.45 − 1 = +2.30%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.30% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology