Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,375 at 4 May 2026, 03:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,368 at 5 May 2026, 03:00 UTC.
3. r = 2367.58 / 2374.6 − 1 = -0.30%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.30% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology