Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,317 at 3 May 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,322 at 4 May 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 2322.48 / 2316.88 − 1 = +0.24%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.24% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology