Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,374 at 1 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,488 at 2 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 78487.74 / 78373.61 − 1 = +0.15%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.15% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology