Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 1 May 2026, 14:28 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC

Ansem 🐂🀄️

@blknoiz06

Quoting · 24 Jan 2025, 15:16 UTC · context given to the AI

$SOL update #11 [$267] closing this thread out here, 13.3x from ~$20 in about 18 months, hope everyone who tailed made some good money i do still think it goes $1000+ just uncertain on timeframe, Trump + ETF trade will take longer to play out than current expectations

In reply to · 1 May 2026, 14:26 UTC · context given to the AI

So the absolute pico top, obviously https://t.co/CZleSHgtYj https://t.co/KmyP5PvB8C

@granziri check the timestamp if you want https://t.co/YNsq8ZecKu

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $84.20 at 1 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83.96 at 2 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 83.96 / 84.2 − 1 = -0.29%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.29% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@granziri check the timestamp if you want https://t.co/YNsq8ZecKu”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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