Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,374 at 30 Apr 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,374 at 1 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 78373.61 / 76374.49 − 1 = +2.62%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.62% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology