Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 30 Apr 2026, 13:21 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

Quoting · 24 Nov 2025, 14:02 UTC · context given to the AI

https://t.co/DrjIFBai2O

I think $MEGA will have at least 1 pump in it and after that, no clue. Could have price action similar to Monad I guess where it's 1 pump and then dead for a while and then decent strength. Pretty hard to tell w. current market conditions. https://t.co/5gYh6plTs3

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $MEGA price at or after publication, $0.00003098 at 30 Apr 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.00003134 at 1 May 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 0.0000313353448558276 / 0.00003097708904006194 − 1 = +1.16%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.16% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $MEGA ($MEGA)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I think $MEGA will have at least 1 pump in it and after that, no clue.”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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