Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,016 at 29 Apr 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,726 at 30 Apr 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 75726.17 / 77016.01 − 1 = -1.67%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.67% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology