Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,088 at 28 Apr 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,552 at 29 Apr 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 76552.31 / 77088.49 − 1 = -0.70%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.70% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology