Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 27 Apr 2026, 05:54 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

CryptoBusy

@CryptoBusy

In reply to · 26 Apr 2026, 14:20 UTC · context given to the AI

I am not bullish here I think this upside is exhausted I think we will see lower prices soon However strong opinions, loosely held If we continue higher, 86k is my next pivot Anime waifu unrelated $BTC https://t.co/vyKTCpchID

@follis_ Failure to break higher could lead to a pullback before the next move.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,790 at 27 Apr 2026, 06:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,884 at 28 Apr 2026, 06:00 UTC.
r = 76884.2 / 77790.01 − 1 = -1.16%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.16% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@follis_ Failure to break higher could lead to a pullback before the next move.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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