Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,300 at 26 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,813 at 27 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 76813.05 / 78299.91 − 1 = -1.90%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.90% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology