Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,074 at 26 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,776 at 27 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 76775.9 / 78073.83 − 1 = -1.66%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.66% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology