Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 24 Apr 2026, 02:47 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

CryptoBusy

@CryptoBusy

In reply to · 23 Apr 2026, 06:53 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC / $USD - Update Too many expect a dump from here. One more high to liquidate then bigger dump i reckon. https://t.co/WCkSrP89im

@CryptoTony__ After that sweep the market can then decide if a deeper pullback follows.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,154 at 24 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,639 at 25 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC.
r = 77639.19 / 78154.1 − 1 = -0.66%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.66% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@CryptoTony__ After that sweep the market can then decide if a deeper pullback follows.”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3