Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,240 at 23 Apr 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,813 at 24 Apr 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 77813.11 / 78240.01 − 1 = -0.55%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.55% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology