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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2046329986441957548:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 Apr 2026, 20:47 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Russell 2000 just hit a new all-time high of 2,798 for the first time in history. This shows money is rotating from large cap stocks to small caps. Russell is the biggest indicator for risk assets like Crypto. Historically ETH and altcoins follows Russell 2000 to highs.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,339 at 20 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,315 at 21 Apr 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 2315.19 / 2338.61 − 1 = -1.00%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.00% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Historically ETH and altcoins follows Russell 2000 to highs.”
Confidence: 82%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$2,339

Evaluation price

$2,315

Move

-1.00%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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