Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,589 at 20 Apr 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,841 at 21 Apr 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 75840.58 / 74589.28 − 1 = +1.68%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.68% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology