Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,843 at 17 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,192 at 18 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 76191.72 / 77843.17 − 1 = -2.12%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.12% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology