Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,965 at 16 Apr 2026, 05:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,810 at 17 Apr 2026, 05:00 UTC.
3. r = 74810 / 74964.65 − 1 = -0.21%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.21% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology