Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Apr 2026, 18:20 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

K A L E O

@CryptoKaleo

7 out of the last 10 years #Bitcoin has climbed after tax day. Several of them led to massive runs for $BTC in a relatively short window immediately after. Time to run it back turbo. https://t.co/ZpG9wXK3Wh

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“One clarification I should have stated - the realistic estimate for how much BTC is in old satoshi era wallets that most likely won't be migrated is closer to 2 million, which is still ~10% of the supply and hundreds of billions of dollars.”Repeat15 Apr 2026, 14:45 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “7 out of the last 10 years #Bitcoin has climbed after tax day.”
Confidence: 76%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record