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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2044480946968400032:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Apr 2026, 18:20 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

Vitalik is planning to rebrand $ETH to ETH AI so it can finally pump to $5,000 after 5 years. https://t.co/6vTg69KzAv

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,359 at 15 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,344 at 16 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 2344.3 / 2359.31 − 1 = -0.64%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.64% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Vitalik is planning to rebrand $ETH to ETH AI so it can finally pump to $5,000 after 5 years.”
Confidence: 67%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$2,359

Evaluation price

$2,344

Move

-0.64%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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